6.Consider a firm that has a cumulative default probability over 9 years of 18 percent and amarginal probability of default in the 10th year of 9 percent. The cumulative default probability of this firm over 10 years will be:
  A. 21.29%.
  B. 23.65%.
  C. 25.38%.
  D. 27.00%.
  Correct answer:C
  7.BBB-rated firms have default rates of 0.2% over the first year and 6.6% the year after. The cumulative default probability of such firms over the two years is CLOSEST to:
  A. 0.01%.
  B. 6.79%.
  C. 6.80%.
  D. 6.81%.
  Correct answer:B
  8. Ba-rated firms have been observed to have probability of default of 0.8, 1.4 and 2.1 percent during years 1, 2, and 3 from present. The probability that a Ba-rated firm will default within the next three years is CLOSEST to:
  A. 1.43%.
  B. 3.47%.
  C. 4.24%.
  D. 4.30%.
  Correct answer:C
  9. A trader has long positions of $100 million and $300 million on two securities that have default probabilities of 6 percent and 10 percent respectively. If the joint probability of default is 2 percent and the recovery rate is 55 percent, the total expected loss due to credit defaults over the next year is CLOSEST to:
  A. $12.60 million.
  B. $18.72 million.
  C. $19.39 million.
  D. $19.80 million.
  Correct answer:B
  10.BBB-rated firms have default probability of 0.2% over a period of one year. Based on this information the default probability over the next quarter will be CLOSEST to:
  A. 0.05%.
  B. 0.45%.
  C. 0.50%.
  D. 1.50%.
  Correct answer:A